Author information

¹Department of Psychiatry.

²Department of Medicine, University of California, San Diego.

³Department of Population Studies, Colegio de la Frontera Norte.

⁴Sección mexicana, Comisión de Salud Fronteriza México-Estados Unidos.

⁵Escuela de Medicina, Universidad Xochicalco, Campus Tijuana, Mexico.

⁶School of Social Work, San Diego State University, California.

⁷School of Medicine, University of Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

Abstract

Background: Illicitly manufactured fentanyl (IMF) increases overdose mortality, but its role in infectious disease transmission is unknown. We examined whether IMF use predicts hepatitis C virus (HCV) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) incidence among a cohort of people who inject drugs (PWID) in San Diego, California and Tijuana, Mexico.

Methods: PWID were recruited during 2020-2022, undergoing semi-annual interviewer-administered surveys and HIV and HCV serological rapid tests through 2024. Cox regression was conducted to examine predictors of seroconversion considering self-reported IMF use as a 6-month lagged, time-dependent covariate.

Results: Of 398 PWID at baseline, 67% resided in San Diego, 70% were male, median age was 43 years, 42% reported receptive needle sharing, and 25% reported using IMF. HCV incidence was 14.26 per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI]: 11.49-17.02), and HIV incidence was 1.29 (95% CI: .49-2.10). IMF was associated with HCV seroconversion, with a univariable hazard ratio (HR) of 1.64 (95% CI: 1.09-2.40), and multivariable HR of 1.57 (95% CI: 1.03-2.40). The direction of the relationship with HIV was similar, albeit not significant (HR 2.39; 95% CI: .66-8.64).

Conclusions: We document a novel association between IMF and HCV seroconversion among PWID in Tijuana-San Diego. Few HIV seroconversions (n = 10) precluded our ability to assess if a similar relationship held for HIV. IMF's short half-life may destabilize PWID-increasing the need for repeat dosing and sharing smoking materials and syringes. New preventive care approaches may reduce HCV transmission in the fentanyl era.